2026 NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Hamlin a Clear-Cut Choice With Postseason Approaching

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Could this finally be the year Denny Hamlin wins a championship? It certainly looks that way based on the current 2026 NASCAR Cup Series odds.

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Hamlin has pulled away to a clear-cut lead over former favorite Tyler Reddick, who is fighting with Ryan Blaney for second-choice status.

Let’s look at the latest NASCAR Cup Series odds.

NASCAR Cup Series odds

Odds as of 8-5. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

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NASCAR Cup Series odds movement

• Tyler Reddick (18% to 11%) was the biggest faller over the past month. He hasn’t won a race since April 19 following a roaring start to 2026.

• Reddick’s loss has been the gain of Denny Hamlin (33% to 41%), who’s solidified his standing at the top of the pecking order with three second-half wins. 

• Chase Elliott (6% to 3%) is also falling as Hendrick Motorsports struggles in general.

NASCAR Cup Series favorites

Denny Hamlin (41% probability)

Denny Hamlin ripped off three straight wins before back-to-back struggles on road/street courses.

Since then, he’s tallied three Top 5s over a four-race span.