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The Minnesota Timberwolves did not blink when Victor Wembanyama blocked shot after shot in Game 1. They proceeded to upset the San Antonio Spurs thanks to an offensive outburst in the fourth quarter.

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My Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions and these NBA picks expect Minnesota to lean into that fourth-quarter recipe come Game 2 on Wednesday, May 6.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2 prediction

Timberwolves vs Spurs best bet: Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 rebounds (-125)

The Minnesota Timberwolves entered the fourth quarter Monday night trailing the San Antonio Spurs by three. Rudy Gobert went to the bench for the next 10:16; when he returned, the Timberwolves led by seven.

Minnesota had scored 32 points in those 10 minutes, already eight more than it had in any previous quarter. A five-out lineup featuring Julius Randle and Naz Reid as the Timberwolves’ big men pulled Victor Wembanyama too far from the hoop to bolster his inflated blocks stats, and suddenly, Minnesota could score.

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Expect more of that look in Game 2, costing Gobert minutes as the game wears on.

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COVERS INTEL:

The Spurs outscored the Timberwolves 45-40 in the 21:32 that both Gobert and Wembanyama were on the court in Game 1. That went better than Minnesota expected, but it is still a matchup the Timberwolves should want to lessen.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2 same-game parlay

Fewer Rudy Gobert minutes should help both Minnesota’s and San Antonio’s offenses. In the 21:32 that Gobert faced Wembanyama, the Spurs’ offensive rating was 104.7 while the Timberwolves’ was 93. For the entirety of the game, San Antonio’s offensive rating was 106.3 while Minnesota’s was 108.3.

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The math does not need to delve further than that. Gobert serves a purpose in this series, but his minutes need to be limited compared to Wembanyama’s, and that should propel both offenses.

Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP

  • Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 rebounds

  • Rudy Gobert Under 8.5 points

Timberwolves vs Spurs odds for Game 2

  • Spread: Timberwolves +9.5 | Spurs -9.5

  • Moneyline: Timberwolves +300 | Spurs -380

  • Over/Under: Over 215.5 | Under 215.5

Timberwolves vs Spurs betting trend to know

After Timberwolves head coach Chris Finch said his team “lied” to him all season, evidenced by their Game 1 loss at Denver, Minnesota has gone 5-1 against the spread, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 14.5 points, even when including the ATS loss. For what it’s worth, that ATS loss came by just the hook. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Spurs.

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How to watch Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2

Location

Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

Date

Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Tip-off

9:30 p.m. ET

TV

ESPN

Timberwolves vs Spurs latest injuries

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