Thunder vs Spurs Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 3

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

With the Western Conference Finals tied at 1-1 apiece, the series shifts to the Alamo City as the San Antonio Spurs look to regain the upper hand on the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.

Advertisement

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for Game 3 include no shortage of NBA player prop projections, and we have you covered for the best NBA picks on Friday, May 22.

Thunder vs Spurs computer picks for Game 3

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365’s early win payout!

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365’s offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review!

Sign Up Now atimg src=”https://img.covers.com/betting/sportsbooks/2/bet365.svg” alt=”bet365″ width=”100″ height=”28″ style=”vertical-align: middle;”

Advertisement

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Thunder Game 3 computer picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 7.5 assists (+102)

Projection: 6.24 assists

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to clear this line in seven of his last 10 games, and given the Oklahoma City Thunder’s sixth-slowest pace, expect that to continue in Game 3.

OKC also ranks as the second-worst team in offensive rebounding on the road, so Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs should limit SGA’s facilitating tonight.

span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet sga Now at bet365!/span

Chet Holmgren Over 13.5 points (-112)

Projection: 16.02 points

Advertisement

Chet Holmgren has cashed this prop in seven of his last 10, and our computer projects a 18.77% EV advantage ahead of tip-off.

The Thunder have averaged 119.6 points per game away from the Paycom Center this season, and Holmgren should continue to be one of the main beneficiaries tonight.

span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet holmgren Now at bet365!/span

Ajay Mitchell Under 14.5 points (-115)

Projection: 12.98 points

Ajay Mitchell has accumulated just 14 points through the first two games of this series, attempting only 13 shots in the process.

The OKC guard has finished below this number in six of his last 10 contests, and an elite San Antonio Spurs defense (third in defensive rating) is set to keep it that way.

Advertisement

span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet mitchell Now at bet365!/span

Spurs Game 3 computer picks

Dylan Harper Over 11.5 points (-109)

Projection: 12.57 points

Dylan Harper has really stepped it up in the postseason, averaging 16.4 ppg over his last five matches.

If Harper suits up tonight and De’Aaron Fox remains sidelined, the rookie should continue to shine against a Thunder defense that allows starting point guards to attempt the most threes per contest.

span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet harper Now at bet365!/span

Julian Champagnie Under 2.5 threes (-120)

Projection: 2.28 threes

Advertisement

Julian Champagnie has missed the cut on 2.5 threes in five of his last 10 games.

Shooting just 4-for-18 from 3-point range in the Western Conference Finals, look for the third-year Spur to take a backseat offensively tonight.

span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet champagnie Now at bet365!/span

Stephen Castle Under 7.5 assists (+110)

Projection: 6.84 assists

Stephen Castle’s assist totals have dipped from 7.4 per game in the regular season to 6.6 in the postseason.

At plus money, it’s worth a look for the Spurs guard, who has cleared this prop in just four of his last 10 contests.

span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet castle Now at bet365!/span

Advertisement

How to watch Thunder vs Spurs Game 3

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

MORE NBA PICKS

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.