Prior to officially unveiling the Chase for the Championship format in January, NASCAR and Racing Insights conducted over 25,000 simulations to predict how the format could potentially play out.
The findings:
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Overall, drivers won the championship 85 percent of time when seeded inside the top six and 69 percent of the time from the top three. There is a pathway to the championship all the way through the 16th seed but the math doesn’t lie about who the favorites are.
The Chase Grid
Denny Hamlin
Ryan Blaney -25
Tyler Reddick -35
Ty Gibbs -40
Chase Briscoe -45
Christopher Bell -50
Kyle Larson -55
Chase Elliott -60
Joey Logano -65...
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