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We knew the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs was going to be good, but hot damn.
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A double-overtime thriller in the series opener set the tone, and now Oklahoma City is on high alert for Game 2 tonight after losing home court.
My Spurs vs. Thunder predictions call on the MVP to lift OKC, with my NBA picks taking Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to bounce back from an off night to top his scoring prop on Wednesday, May 20.
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UPDATE: Added a +1500 SGP for tonight.
Spurs vs Thunder Game 2 prediction
Spurs vs Thunder best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points (-110)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander deferred to his Oklahoma City Thunder teammates when L.A. sold out to stop him in Round 2.
He doesn’t have that luxury versus the San Antonio Spurs.
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Gilgeous-Alexander was 1-for-5 with four points in the first half of Game 1 and quickly realized backup wasn’t coming.
After just one shot inside of 15 feet in the opening half, SGA was more aggressive attacking the rim.
All nine of his 2-point FGAs in the 2H came within 15 feet — seven in the paint — and he scored 18 points in the half before OT.
NBA player props projections sit closer to 30 points for a more aggressive SGA.
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COVERS INTEL:
SGA’s Game 1 usage was down to 28.2%, including an uncharacteristically low 19.5% in the first half of Monday’s series opener.
Spurs vs Thunder Game 2 same-game parlay
A long layoff between series left the Thunder a little stiff in the opening 24 minutes of Game 1, and yet OKC stuck around. This time, Oklahoma City is playing with pressure after letting Game 1 slip away. The Thunder are 13-5 SU off a loss this season and 8-0 off a loss in the playoffs over the past two postseason runs.
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Victor Wembanyama turned away three shots in Game 1, but OKC played passively in the opening 24 minutes and didn’t attack the inside at its normal rate. Business picked up in the second half, and the Thunder got aggressive, with all three of Wemby’s swats coming in the second half and OT periods.
Spurs vs Thunder SGP
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points
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Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 blocks
Our “from downtown” SGP: Mega powers explode
The Thunder clap back in a big way in Game 2.
Oklahoma City is 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS off a playoff loss the past two seasons and gets 30+ from a more aggressive Gilgeous-Alexander.
Wembanyama sees more swats with OKC attacking the interior and Holmgren tries stretch the Spurs defense with his outside shooting, having hit at least two triples in six of his nine postseason games so far.
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Spurs vs Thunder SGP
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points
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Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 blocks
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Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 threes
Spurs vs Thunder odds for Game 2
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Spread: Spurs +6.5 | Thunder -6.5
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Moneyline: Spurs +205 | Thunder -250
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Over/Under: Over 216 | Under 216
Spurs vs Thunder betting trend to know
Oklahoma City is 33-7 SU and 22-17-1 ATS off a loss the past two season, including 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS off a playoff loss in that span. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Thunder.
How to watch Spurs vs Thunder Game 2
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Location |
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
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Date |
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
8:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
NBC |
Spurs vs Thunder latest injuries
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