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The 15th-ranked Boise State Broncos face the San Diego State Aztecs in a battle of two of the top three teams in the Mountain West Conference on Friday night. Boise State is coming off a 29-24 win at UNLV last week, while San Diego State dropped a 29-26 decision to Washington State. The Aztecs (3-4, 2-0 Mountain West), who had a two-game winning streak snapped against the Cougars, are 1-2 on the road this year. The Broncos (6-1, 3-0 Mountain West), who have won five in a row, are 3-0 on their home field in 2024.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The Broncos are 23.5-point favorites in the latest San Diego State vs. Boise State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 57. Before making any Boise State vs. San Diego State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 16-7 on all top-rated picks over the past five weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on San Diego State vs. Boise State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines and trends for San Diego State vs. Boise State:

  • San Diego State vs. Boise State: Boise State -23.5
  • San Diego State vs. Boise State over-under: 57 points
  • San Diego State vs. Boise State money line: SDSU +1096, Boise State -2439
  • SDS: The Aztecs have hit the game total under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 units)  
  • BSU: The Broncos have hit the money line in nine of their last 12 games (+6.00 units)  
  • San Diego State vs. Boise State picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • San Diego State vs. Boise State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back Boise State

The Broncos are led by sophomore quarterback Maddux Madsen. Through seven games, he has completed 120 of 193 passes (62.2%) for 1,482 yards and 13 touchdowns with just two interceptions and a 146.8 rating. He also has rushed 16 times for 96 yards (6.0 average) and two touchdowns. In last Friday’s win at UNLV, he threw for 209 yards and one touchdown and rushed three times for 58 yards and a score.

Leading the rushing attack is junior running back Ashton Jeanty. He has carried 159 times for 1,376 yards (8.7 average) and 18 touchdowns. He has rushed for more than 100 yards in all seven games this season. In a 45-24 win over Washington State on Sept. 28, he carried 26 times for 259 yards and four touchdowns. In the season-opening 56-45 win at Georgia Southern, he carried 20 times for 267 yards and six touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back San Diego State

Freshman quarterback Danny O’Neil leads the Aztecs’ passing attack. In six games this season, he has completed 109 of 174 attempts (62.6%) for 1,240 yards and six touchdowns. He has been intercepted twice and has a rating of 131.6. He has passed for 200 or more yards in four games, including a season-high 254 yards with one touchdown and one interception in a 27-24 win at Wyoming on Oct. 12.

Leading the ground attack is fifth-year senior running back Marquez Cooper. He is in his first year with the program after spending three seasons at Kent State and one at Ball State. In seven games, he has carried 169 times for 748 yards (4.4 average) and eight touchdowns. In last week’s loss to Washington State, he carried 18 times for 78 yards (4.3 average) and two touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

How to make San Diego State vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 57 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins San Diego State vs. Boise State, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.



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