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The NBA playoffs are finally here! Though the play-in tournament results will determine the final draft lottery odds, we’ve got a pretty good idea about how things will fall. Last mock, I played out the scenario in which Darryn Peterson tumbled out of the top three due to medical concerns. Today, we’re doing the opposite now that the order is mostly set with a clean board and standard order. Let’s get to it with both the first and second rounds.

A.J. Dybantsa, 6-9, BYU freshman forward

Congratulations to the Wizards for their hard work tanking their way to only 17 wins, ending the year on a high note with a 10-game losing streak! At worst, the Wizards can end up with the fifth pick. But we’ll save that nightmare scenario for a future mock. For now, the Wizards stick with the first pick and land Dybantsa, who led the nation in scoring as a freshman by averaging 25.5 points for a top-25 team. At 6-foot-9, players his size are not supposed to move with the herky-jerky elasticity that Dybantsa does. He can dunk over defenders. He can stop on a dime and fade away from midrange. And he can catch fire from behind the line too. BYU head coach Kevin Young said Dybantsa’s scoring talent is “in rare air with some of the greats.” Over the course of his freshman year, he began to make dramatic progress as a passer, too, as shown with his cross-court, bull’s-eye passes to find shooters.

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If the Wizards land him with the top pick, they could be getting the face of the franchise they need to headline a young roster with some appealing talents, such as center Alex Sarr, wing Kyshawn George, and guard Tre Johnson. And perhaps Trae Young and Anthony Davis could return next season and help Dybantsa win as a rookie.

(Hassan Ahmad/Yahoo Sports Illustration)

Darryn Peterson, 6-6, Kansas freshman guard

Tyrese Haliburton told Pacers fans not to get used to no games being played in April, May and June. Odds are, he’s right. Indiana has a lot of talent on the roster, and as long as Haliburton can return to his All-NBA level, whomever gets picked will be the cherry on top. With Dybantsa off the board, the Pacers could take a look at Cam Boozer with this pick — that’s who I had in my last mock — but would Indiana become too big with Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam and Boozer? Is there enough perimeter defense with that group? Maybe Boozer would be more of a successor to Siakam.

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But if there’s one thing the Pacers are definitely missing, it’s some scoring juice. Andrew Nembhard is very talented, but he doesn’t have star upside. Neither do young investments like Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker and Johnny Furphy. That’s why Peterson would make total sense. The shot-making is real. He can pull up from anywhere and get to his spots. Plus he is 6-6 and plays with a fluidity that just screams superstar. Not to mention he’s a defensive playmaker with the tools to guard multiple positions and the approach to impact the game even if he’s not scoring.

Between the cramping saga, the missed time, the lack of apparent athletic pop and the stretches where he played heavy minutes but struggled to produce offensively, there’s a lot to be concerned about. But the pre-draft period could answer many questions. And for the Pacers, he could be worth the swing anyway. Because if he’s a hit, Haliburton-Peterson would have the upside to be the NBA’s best backcourt for the next decade.

Cameron Boozer, 6-9, Duke freshman forward

The Nets need a leader. Boozer fits the bill. He’s a do-it-all offensive talent who can post up, run pick-and-rolls, set screens, spot up and crash the boards. He doesn’t need to rely on bully ball to make an impact as a scorer or passer. Defensively, some of the questions about him popped up in Duke’s heartbreaking Elite 8 loss to UConn: He wasn’t big enough to defend Tarris Reed, and he got smoked by Alex Karaban on a key 3-pointer on the perimeter. But he plays hard and has improved at every weakness in his game so far. That approach is exactly the type of player Brooklyn needs.

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Caleb Wilson, 6-10, North Carolina freshman big

Between Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Walker Kessler, the Jazz already have a lot of bigs. But adding arguably the most gifted athlete in the draft class in Wilson would add a player with star upside to the mix. He’s 6-10 with springs for legs, and when he’s flying above the rim, finishing through contact and chasing down everything in his area code, he looks like a future cornerstone.

But the case against Wilson is pretty clear too. Despite all his positives, he hasn’t shown consistency as a shooter at any level. Then a broken left hand in February and a fractured right thumb in March ended his season before he could prove himself on the biggest stage. There are plenty of guards who should intrigue the Jazz too — especially Illinois’ Keaton Wagler — that could fit alongside Keyonte George for years to come. But for this mock, let’s pretend Utah builds a jumbo team.

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Darius Acuff, 6-3, Arkansas freshman guard

The Kings need an engine. Someone who can put butts in seats again. That player could be Acuff, who entered college with a scoring reputation, but has emerged as a skilled, low-turnover playmaker who also displayed leadership qualities. Still, getting buckets is what he does best. He is a wiry scorer who can get a bucket from anywhere on the floor with a quick trigger, slippery handle, and a feel for manipulating defenses. He can thrive off-ball, too, as a shooter and cutter, giving him the flexibility to play with and without the ball.

Even though he has his defensive shortcomings, he looks like a future All-Star who can toggle between a score-first or pass-first approach. There are “safer” picks on the board, but Acuff offers a sky-high ceiling that Sacramento needs.

Keaton Wagler, 6-6, Illinois freshman guard

After staying stagnant most of the year with the eighth-best odds, Dallas and New Orleans picked up some late wins to help the Grizzlies slip into the sixth spot, which comes with 3% better odds at the first pick and 11% better odds at the top four. This difference better positions the Grizzlies to find their replacement for Ja Morant. And the answer could be Wagler, who was never expected to be a one-and-done, and yet he led Illinois all the way to the Final Four. And in the loss to UConn, he ultimately felt like their only hope for any shot creation.

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Wagler isn’t an elite vertical athlete, as evidenced by his zero dunks on the year. But he is 6-6 with a long wingspan, has elite footwork, can decelerate on drives and has an excellent feel for the game. He could be a perfect fit for head coach Tuomas Iisalo’s pick-and-roll offense. There’s a chance Wagler goes much higher than this, but if he lands with Memphis, he could grow alongside a center like Zach Edey, a wing like Cedric Coward and a long list of young talents still under 25 years old.

Mikel Brown, 6-5, Louisville freshman guard

It really is quite sad that the Pelicans couldn’t dig their way out of the NBA’s garbage can division. But good for the Hawks. They’ve been one of the best teams in basketball for months. And now they have a 9.8% chance of ending up with the top pick, thanks to the Pelicans/Bucks pick swap. If they stay put in this range, drafting a guard could make sense. CJ McCollum is 34, but his versatile style playing with and without the ball fits perfectly in the Atlanta backcourt. Someone who could grow into that role is Brown.

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When Brown is in the zone, he has an unstoppable pull-up jumper, shows an ambidextrous finishing ability and makes quick reads to rifle passes before the defense has time to react. He had a 45-point breakout performance in February, but a back injury dogged him throughout his freshman year. If Brown had stayed healthy, he might be going much higher. And maybe he’ll play his way into that through pre-draft workouts. But for now, the absences muddy the evaluation and leave real questions about his consistency that may not get answered until he’s fully healthy.

Kingston Flemings, 6-4, Houston freshman guard

Beating the Blazers, Lakers and Bulls over the last nine games of the season has to sting, at least if you’re a Mavericks fan who was rooting for better lottery odds. Maybe falling from sixth to eighth will work out though. It only took the 11th-best odds to grab Cooper Flagg one year ago. And even in this slot, the Mavericks could find their point guard of the future. And why not stay in Texas?

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Flemings entered the season as the least-heralded of Houston’s stacked freshman class, but he played his way into the top-10 conversation while his higher-ranked teammates played their way out of it. He’s a 6-4 ball-handler who can get to his spots, make advanced passes and limit turnovers in a way that resembles a veteran guard. If he lands with Dallas, it’s hard to imagine a better situation. Kyrie Irving could serve as a mentor, and Flemings could grow alongside a future MVP candidate in Flagg.

Aday Mara, 7-3, Michigan junior center

Artūras Karnišovas and Marc Eversley got fired. But what really changes? The team felt no different under them than it did with Gar Forman and John Paxson leading the front office. The common denominator: The Reinsdorf family is still in charge. But maybe they just need to hire the right guy. And maybe the right guy can fix this middling organization. And every good team in the NBA has a reliable center. The Bulls don’t. That’s why Mara could fit after he helped lead Michigan to a national championship, raising his draft stock in the process.

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Mara reads the floor like a guard, finishes with both hands and swats shots with elite timing. The sequences that Mara could have with skilled passers like Josh Giddey and Matas Buzelis could be breathtaking. The complication is he doesn’t shoot well from outside, he makes below 60% of his free throws, and opponents are going to attack him on the perimeter. But size matters.

Nate Ament, 6-10, Tennessee freshman wing

It would be on brand for Bucks general manager Jon Horst to take a raw prospect with theoretically high upside. Sometimes that player turns into Giannis Antetokounmpo. Other times he turns into Thon Maker. But the logic is the same with Ament, who severely struggled at finishing due to his undeveloped frame and didn’t shoot 3s as well as anticipated after entering the college year with the hopes if turning this draft class into a Big Four.

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Players who can handle, shoot off the dribble and stand 6-10 don’t grow on trees. This physical foundation kept Ament in lottery consideration even after a dreadful start to his freshman season when he struggled to score efficiently and make an impact defensively. But over the second half of the year for Tennessee, he flipped a switch and shots began to fall. He averaged 23.8 points over a six-game stretch in January and February that reminded everyone why he was a top recruit in the country. Then he dealt with an ankle injury that ruined his momentum entering March. But the Bucks, no matter what happens with Giannis, may want to take a huge swing.

Karim Lopez, 6-8, New Zealand Breakers forward

Lopez is a forward out of Mexico who spent two seasons in the NBL’s Next Stars program, averaging nearly 12 points and six rebounds. He’s a smart cutter who finds scoring lanes within the flow of the offense, a solid shooter, and a versatile defender. That two-way versatility would work well with the Warriors, who need to replenish the roster with some upside.

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Draymond Green could actually be quite a good mentor for Lopez, given they’re both hard-nosed players who make a winning effort at all times on the court. But the Warriors may not even end up with a lottery pick if they win their way out of the play-in. I know what I’d rather have if I’m a Warriors fan though: Give me the lottery odds.

Yaxel Lendeborg, 6-9, Michigan senior forward

The Clippers face off against the Warriors in Wednesday night’s play-in game. I just can’t imagine the reaction if they actually lose, because whoever does will end up with the 11th-best odds. The same spot that Dallas had moving up to the top pick last year. Can you imagine?

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Well, if this Clippers pick stays put here, there’s still plenty of talent available for the Thunder. Lendeborg comes to mind, and there’s a chance he goes even higher than this despite the fact he’ll be 24 as a rookie. The heart he showed playing through injury to help lead Michigan to a national championship cannot be understated. And despite his age, he offers do-it-all upside. He fills the stat sheet with points, boards and everything else, he can play multiple positions, and he has a 7-foot-4 wingspan at 240 pounds with a genuine handle.

Lendeborg got better every year as a shooter in college and ended up making 37.2% of his 3-pointers on 4.5 per game as a senior. The Thunder have actually fallen to the middle of the pack in 3-point shooting, so adding a knockdown guy who can play right away on a rookie-scale contract could add additional value.

Apr 6, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) celebrates after their win against the UConn Huskies in the national championship of the Final Four of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament between the  and the Michigan Wolverines at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) celebrates after their win against the UConn Huskies in the national championship at Lucas Oil Stadium.

(IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect / REUTERS)

Hannes Steinbach, 6-11, Washington freshman big

Erik Spoelstra just doesn’t have any trust in Kel’el Ware. Even if things work out, it wouldn’t hurt making another investment in the frontcourt with the type of player that has all the qualities that Spo admires. Steinbach played professionally in Germany before enrolling at Washington, and he’ll enter the NBA with some ready-made skills as an interior scorer and rebounder. He has massive hands that he uses to grab every possible rebound and finish effectively around the basket.

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He also showed legitimate touch on 3-pointers in flashes, which would turn him into a very different player if it becomes real. Given how successful the Heat were at helping Bam Adebayo develop his 3-pointer, Steinbach could see the same trajectory in Miami. Additionally, Steinbach probably needs a Bam type next to him in the frontcourt since he’s a bit of a modern tweener himself. Steinbach is not a true 7-footer, and there are specific matchups where he gets targeted in space. He needs to be the right kind of center for the right team. That could be Miami.

Brayden Burries, 6-4, Arizona freshman guard

Burries struggled in Arizona’s final NCAA tournament games against Purdue and Michigan, but he looked like a star against Arkansas. With Arizona up 13 with only 3:20 to go in the Elite 8, Burries dove head first for a loose ball, grabbed it, then flipped it to his teammate for an open layup. Some players would’ve relaxed with the big lead, but Burries stays pedal to the metal. Hustle plays like that, and the flashes of stardom as a shot creator, helped him earn his spot as a potential lottery pick.

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He plays with physicality and can beat you from all three levels. He’s a methodical creator rather than an explosive one, but that could work in Charlotte with LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller and Kon Knueppel already absorbing so many touches. It would allow Burries to slide in as a Swiss Army Knife in the backcourt that fills different needs depending on what the matchup demands.

15. Chicago Bulls (via Portland)

Braylon Mullins, 6-6, UConn freshman wing

This pick will belong to the Blazers if they lose in the play-in. So all Bulls fans should be rooting hard for Portland to win on Tuesday (then Friday). After selecting a center in Mara with their first pick, let’s go with a shooter here. Mullins hit one of the greatest buzzer-beaters in college basketball history to send Connecticut to the Final Four, and he hit a ton of big-time shots off movement actions against stout defense by Illinois and Michigan, too.

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Mullins shot only 33.5% on the season, but he’s a way better shooter than the number indicates. And though he needs others to generate looks at this stage of his career, he’s more than just a specialist with his nose for the ball and his defensive IQ, which led to so many little gritty moments that helped UConn stay competitive all the way to the final buzzer.

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