The NFL’s regular-season schedule might be an intricate puzzle, but any notion of equity quickly falls by the wayside when it comes to optimizing the broadcast slate.
For as much as the league touts its pervasive parity, that dynamic rarely extends to the balance – or lack thereof – in how prime-time games are distributed. Franchises in key markets and large audiences remain fixtures of the standalone slate, while others are left to fight for scraps.
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But the allotment can vary greatly from season to season as expectations shift for each organization. Ahead of this year’s schedule release, here are five teams that deserve fewer prime-time games in 2026:
With five prime-time games and a standalone window for their Germany matchup in 2025, the Falcons received a major vote of confidence from the league. A breakthrough for Atlanta and quarterback Michael Penix Jr. never materialized, and Arthur Blank cleaned house in response to the disappointment.
Even with new coach Kevin Stefanski aboard, the Falcons hardly qualify as must-see TV. A quarterback competition between Penix and Tua Tagovailoa likely won’t move the needle with viewers or produce much better results through the air. A stagnant Atlanta roster has also been passed up by its competition in the NFC South, with the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints showing serious signs of growth. It’s time to spread the wealth in the division, which can easily be achieved by bumping the Falcons down to a slate befitting a team stuck in neutral.
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The NFL made it all the way to Week 16 last year before flexing a prime-time matchup, giving the rudderless Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals the boot. That was perhaps a harbinger of how the league might treat the former this spring after reserving five such slots for the team in 2025.
First-year general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan has left no doubt that Miami is going full bore with its teardown, which has sent away the likes of Tagovailoa, wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, edge rusher Bradley Chubb and more. All that’s left in the rubble: various low-cost holdovers, bargain free-agent signings and rookies trying to find their way. And while quarterback Malik Willis provides some panache with his big-play capabilities as a runner and downfield thrower, he’s sure to be inhibited by a receiving corps lacking any established options. This looks like a season that will be spent toiling and tweaking before the Dolphins can establish any real competitive credentials. It’s probably best for the group to do that away from the limelight.
In 2025, the league’s schedule-makers embraced a Washington team coming off an unexpected run to the NFC championship game, giving the franchise five prime-time games along with a Christmas slot and a standalone international window. The Commanders went on to lose all seven of those contests, though three of those defeats were only sealed on the last play.
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Is that a sign of a rapid re-emergence? With Jayden Daniels getting a fresh slate after a spate of injuries spoiled his sophomore campaign, there’s reason to believe Washington should be far more formidable in 2026. Yet the Commanders will be working in two first-time coordinators, with David Blough instituting what likely will be a more methodical offense that emphasizes more under-center work. That’s not exactly a scintillating setup for a team that didn’t do much from a personnel standpoint to support Daniels, who still lacks a viable No. 2 target alongside Terry McLaurin.
The Commanders should find a more stable resting point between the high of 2024 and last season’s nadir. But Washington remains decidedly outside of the NFC’s prime class of contenders, and its schedule should reflect that reality.
Since getting rid of its mandate for every team to be scheduled for at least one prime-time game, the NFL hasn’t been shy about keeping some of its duller and less competitive operations out of the spotlight. That could mean trouble for Arizona, which got two prime-time appointments in 2025 but could be blanked this fall.
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First-year coach Mike LaFleur might see better fortune on the health front – the Cardinals finished last season with 24 players on injured reserve – and in close contests than predecessor Jonathan Gannon did. Yet the team that finished with the worst point differential in the NFC (-133) remains a long way off from challenging anyone in its division after going 0-6 against NFC West foes last year. No matter whether Jacoby Brissett holds onto the starting quarterback job or gives way to third-rounder Carson Beck, the offense looks bound to be boxed in by its limitations behind center. And while the arrival of Jeremiyah Love might spark some mild intrigue, running room likely will be hard to come by – as will any game times outside of Sunday afternoons.
Maybe this seems harsh for a team that was already pushed to the fringes, with their prime-time tally being razed from six in 2024 to two last year. Yet even matching that amount this fall would be generous for a regime that still hasn’t conjured a reason for others to tune in.
Gang Green very well might be a more competent operation after absorbing some necessary lessons from Aaron Glenn’s turbulent first year at the helm. But are the Jets any more compelling than they previously were? The defense still seems stuck in a transitional phase after dealing away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams at midseason, and the new pairing of quarterback Geno Smith and coordinator Frank Reich doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence for an offensive surge.
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The Jets, of course, are too big a brand to be shunted aside completely. But while a “Thursday Night Football” game against an AFC East rival might be reasonable, anything beyond that might be a stretch.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: 2026 NFL schedule: Five teams that deserve fewer prime-time games
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