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We kick off the first full week of MLB action with all 30 teams in action today, and prediction markets like Kalshi allow baseball bettors in every state (excluding Nevada) a chance to lock in their favorite MLB best bets.
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To help you find some winners among today’s games, we’ve polled our baseball experts for their favorite MLB picks today — as well as offering extra MLB expert picks from the rest of the Covers staff for Tuesday, March 31.
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UPDATE: Added new CLE/LAD pick.
MLB expert picks for today
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Josh Inglis: Rays ML |
+123 |
|
Jon Metler: Giants ML |
-133 |
|
Joe Osborne: Dodgers -1.5 |
-108 |
Prices courtesy of Kalshi.
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Josh Inglis’ expert pick: Rays moneyline
Price: 45¢ (+123) at Kalshi
There’s value on the Tampa Bay Rays at +123, with most books at +115, and THE BAT making them a slight favorite at -112. Shane McClanahan gets the start, and while there are fair questions about his workload and effectiveness coming off two major surgeries, he looked sharp this spring. He’s also backed by a lineup carrying momentum after a ninth-inning comeback win last night vs. a Milwaukee offense that finally didn’t get to pick on White Sox pitching.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Giants moneyline
Price: 57¢ (-133) at Kalshi
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If you’re a fan of backing elite starting pitchers, you’ll love this bet — we’re getting Logan Webb at a much better price than we should at Kalshi on Tuesday. The San Francisco Giants are trading as a 57% favorite, and I see clear value, as I price them closer to 66%. The Giants are 1–3 to start the season, but Rafael Devers and Luis Arraez profile very well at the top of the order against Germán Márquez, who relies heavily on his fastball. The humidity in San Diego is also expected to be high on Tuesday, which should further enhance the effectiveness of Logan Webb’s sinker.
Joe Osborne’s expert pick: Dodgers -1.5
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Kalshi
This looks like a strong bounce-back spot for the Dodgers after taking their first loss of the season last night. Shohei Ohtani posted a 1.71 ERA at home last year, and he looks to be in peak form after punching out 11 in his final spring tune-up. Meanwhile, Tanner Bibee is a different pitcher on the road: He had a 5.17 ERA in away games last season — nearly two runs higher than his mark at home — and he was hit hard in one start vs. LA. Add in the Dodgers’ clear edge with the bats and bullpen to open the season, and this shapes up as a multi-run win.
More MLB best bets for today
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
CLE/LAD u8 |
-105 |
|
Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Dodgers predictions |
|
|
Soriano 5+ Ks |
-108 |
|
Read analysis in our Angels vs. Cubs predictions |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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