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Tonight the Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres will write the final chapter in what has been an exciting, back-and-forth series.
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Let’s take a look at three strong Canadiens vs. Sabres goal scorer prediction candidates with my NHL picks for Monday, May 18, highlighted by Cole Caufield.
Canadiens vs Sabres goal scorer predictions for Game 7
|
Player to score a goal |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Juraj Slafkovsky |
+215 |
|
Alex Tuch |
+215 |
|
Cole Caufield |
+150 |
|
💲Goal scorer parlay: Juraj Slafkovsky, Alex Tuch, Cole Caufield |
+1300 |
Goal scorer pick: Juraj Slafkovsky (+215)
Juraj Skafkovsky ranks second on the Montreal Canadiens with 3.13 expected goals, and nobody on the team has generated more high-danger opportunities.
Of the six Canadiens with 1.7 xG or more, Slafkovsky is the only one without multiple goals.
He proved this season how efficient he can be at finishing plays off around the net, scoring 30 times while converting at a very healthy 16.8% clip.
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Compare that to this series, where he has converted on just 5.26% of his shots. That is the lowest rate among Montreal’s Top 9 forwards in shots on goal in the second round.
The Buffalo Sabres have the worst team SV% of any side still playing, and Slafkovsky remains a likely candidate to take advantage.
Goal scorer pick: Alex Tuch (+215)
Alex Tuch has been everywhere in this series. He leads the Sabres in shot attempts, shots on goal, scoring chances, and has played more than any other forward on the roster.
He’s generated breakaways, slot chances, rebound opportunities, and absolutely nothing has gone in for him. To say that is abnormal is an understatement.
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Tuch converted on 16.92% of his shots during the regular season and has posted a 16.50 SH% or better in three of the past four years. He is an excellent and opportunistic finisher.
Jack Quinn was going through a similar dry spell for the Sabres and broke out in a big way, scoring two goals in a blowout Game 6 victory.
Tuch will have chances to do the same against Jakub Dobes, who has allowed 12 goals over his last three games and has started to look human.
Goal scorer pick: Cole Caufield (+150)
Remember when Cole Caufield couldn’t buy a goal? He flipped that script in a hurry and is suddenly red-hot.
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The NHL’s second-leading goal scorer has found the back of the net in three of the past four games, and leads all Canadiens in scoring chances this series with 22 through six games.
He’s averaged 6.2 shot attempts over his past five games after recording five or fewer four times in the five-game segment prior.
The uptick in volume makes him very dangerous, especially given Ukka-Pekka Luukkonen’s leaky play. He ranks last among remaining goaltenders in Goals Saved Above Expected during the playoffs and has found himself in and out of the net as a result.
If he’s not at the top of the game, Caufield will take advantage.
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Canadiens vs Sabres anytime goal parlay (+1300)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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