2027 NFL Draft Odds: Arch Manning Headlines Loaded QB Class

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The race to become the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft is already underway, with sportsbooks installing Texas quarterback Arch Manning as the early favorite in the NFL Draft odds. 

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Manning leads an intriguing class that also features Oregon’s Dante Moore and Notre Dame’s CJ Carr, but a full college football season remains to separate contenders from pretenders. As NFL scouts gather more film, expect these odds to change throughout the year.

2027 NFL Draft odds to be No. 1 pick

Odds as of 7-21. Odds courtesy of DraftKings, one of our best betting apps. Sign up with our DraftKings promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

2027 NFL Draft favorites to go No. 1

Arch Manning (QB, Texas)

Arch Manning enters the season with the strongest combination of name recognition, physical tools, and market momentum. His first full year as Texas’ starter was uneven early, but he became more composed as the season progressed and finished by playing his best football. A cleaner, more complete campaign could make him the clear face of the 2027 class.

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Dante Moore (QB, Oregon)

Dante Moore has the most polished resume of the three after producing at a high level in Oregon’s offense. He showed accuracy, command, and the ability to create explosive plays without consistently putting the ball in danger. He already looks like a legitimate first-round quarterback, and another strong season could push him from contender to favorite.

CJ Carr (QB, Notre Dame)

CJ Carr built his case through efficiency and decision-making rather than overwhelming volume. He protected the football, kept Notre Dame’s offense on schedule, and showed enough downfield ability to suggest there is more upside coming. A bigger statistical leap would strengthen his profile, but the foundation of an NFL-caliber starter is already there.

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NFL Draft betting trends

• Quarterback is the most important position on the football field, and following Las Vegas taking Fernando Mendoza at No. 1 in 2026, 22 of the last 29 first-overall picks have been QBs.

• All but two of the last 18 NFL Drafts have seen an offensive lineman get picked in the Top 10, with 2025 being no different, as Will Campbell went fifth, Armand Membou went seventh, and Kelvin Banks Jr. was picked ninth.

List of first overall NFL Draft picks

How to bet on the 2027 NFL Draft

Sportsbooks will post odds for the player to go first overall in the draft as soon as the previous year’s draft is over. Once the college football season begins in September, these odds could change weekly depending on how players are performing as well as the evaluations of trusted draftniks such as Mel Kiper Jr.

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In addition, this NFL futures bet may also take into account the team needs of the worst team(s) in the NFL.

After the NCAA football season is over, NFL Draft odds will solidify after key events such as the underclassmen declaration deadline, the NFL Scouting Combine, and pro days. In the weeks leading up to the draft, sportsbooks will offer more NFL Draft prop bets.

Understanding NFL Draft odds

The odds of going first overall in the NFL Draft will typically look like this:

This means that if you placed a $100 bet on Manning, you would win $250 if the Longhorns QB goes first overall in 2027. When you get closer to the draft, and there is a consensus on who will go first overall, you might see a player with a minus sign (-) ahead of his odds, like this:

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This means you’d have to bet $550 to win $100 on Moore being drafted first overall.

Above we have posted the American odds for the 2027 NFL Draft. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

Get more NFL Draft betting tips and strategies with our draft betting guide.

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