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Bears QB Caleb WilliamsMichael Owens/Getty Images

All is not well for the Chicago Bears. Chicago lost on a Washington Hail Mary in Week 8 and then got steamrolled by the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9. Its defense had a laughable effort against Arizona, while rookie QB Caleb Williams and the offense sputtered repeatedly.

The New England Patriots (+6.5), meanwhile, have looked like a competent team ever since rookie quarterback Drake Maye entered the lineup. Chicago is no lock in this matchup, though there’s one factor to consider.

The Bears will be at home.

Under head coach Matt Eberflus, Chicago has a record of 3-18 on the road. The Bears are undefeated at home this season and have played a better brand of football at Soldier Field. Chicago also has the better defense in this matchup.

Even after last week’s embarrassment, the Bears rank fifth in points allowed. The Patriots rank 25th in total defense and 21st in points allowed. In a potentially ugly game involving two rookie QBs, defense and home-field advantage should mean a lot.

And this may be the last time to really consider using Chicago in survivor. The Bears are entering a three-game home stretch, but after New England, they’ll host the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. After that are trips to Detroit, San Francisco and Minnesota.

The Lions, Seattle Seahawks and Packers (at Green Bay) will round out Chicago’s 2024 schedule.

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