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Adam Silver has gotten two things right in his tenure as NBA commissioner. He pointed out Donald Sterling was a racist, and he created the Play-In Tournament.

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This week’s six games are an absolute joy, though if you ask Portland Trail Blazers fans or Phoenix Suns fans tonight, they may say this is pure agony.

My Trail Blazers vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks bet on one of the NBA’s most irrationally confident players on April 14.

Trail Blazers vs Suns prediction

Trail Blazers vs Suns best bet: Dillon Brooks Over 19.5 points (+102)

Kevin Durant was right. His worst year is better than Dillon Brooks’s best year, but that does not mean the Phoenix Suns’ biggest acquisition for trading away Durant is going to shy away from this moment. Frankly, Dillon Brooks’s delusional confidence is his most redeeming trait, though also and obviously his most infuriating one.

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The Portland Trail Blazers should devote Jrue Holiday to slowing Devin Booker as much as possible. That will move the ball into Brooks’s hands more often.

Phoenix needs either Brooks or Jalen Green to complement Booker to pull off this upset and avoid the Oklahoma City Thunder. Portland is more likely to let Brooks get an advantage than Green.

That is to effectively say, betting on Phoenix’s third option is both the best bet and the Suns’ best approach to winning this game.

In a few respects, the greatest concern with Brooks may be foul trouble. And if Phoenix advances, Brooks’s worst habit will undoubtedly rear its ugly head, but that usually comes once well into a series, as tensions run highest. A one-game format lessens that concern.

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Trail Blazers vs Suns same-game parlay

Devin Booker is too pure a scorer not to pour in some buckets in a game of this import, hence Portland presumably needing to devote Jrue Holiday to the Suns’ franchise cornerstone. And that is part of why Brooks should score, though partly at Green’s expense. In a very real way, every leg of this one-sided same-game parlay is correlated.

Trail Blazers vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 19.5 points

  • Jalen Green Under 18.5 points

  • Devin Booker Over 26.5 points

Our “from downtown” SGP: Suns don’t set

To put this simply, if the Suns’ point distribution breaks down like this, then Phoenix is in a great position to win this Play-In game with ease. Adding the -4 to this same-game parlay should not raise it 73%.

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This is what makes the Suns just dangerous enough. They may be devoid of stars aside from Booker, a year after having too many stars to function, but Phoenix still has an array of backcourt scoring to worry just about anybody in the NBA, particularly for one game.

Trail Blazers vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 19.5 points

  • Jalen Green Under 18.5 points

  • Devin Booker Over 26.5 points

Trail Blazers vs Suns odds

  • Spread: Trail Blazers +4 | Suns -4

  • Moneyline: Trail Blazers +145 | Suns -170

  • Over/Under: Over 218 | Under 218

Trail Blazers vs Suns betting trend to know

Phoenix went 23-17-1 against the spread at home this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Trail Blazers vs. Suns.

How to watch Trail Blazers vs Suns

Location

Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ

Date

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Tip-off

10:00 p.m. ET

TV

Prime Video

Trail Blazers vs Suns latest injuries

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