MAC teams with inverse records will clash on CBS Sports Network on Friday’s college basketball schedule. The Toledo Rockets are 16-10 overall and 9-4 in conference play, and they will host the Bowling Green Falcons, who are 10-16 overall and 4-9 within the MAC. The Rockets have dominated the recent head-to-head series, winning six of the last seven meetings. That includes an 84-71 road victory on Jan. 24.
Tipoff is at 6 p.m. ET from the Savage Arena in Toledo, Ohio. The Rockets are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Bowling Green vs. Toledo odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 157.5. Before making any Toledo vs. Bowling Green picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 16 of the 2024-25 season on a 213-158 betting roll (+1675) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bowling Green vs. Toledo. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Toledo vs. Bowling Green:
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -7.5
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo over/under: 157.5 points
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo money line: Toledo -340 Bowling Green +286
- TOL: The Rockets are 13-12 against the spread
- BG: The Falcons are 10-13-1 against the spread
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why you should back Bowling Green
The Falcons’ offense runs through burly big man, Marcus Johnson. The two-time transfer leads Bowling Green with 16.6 points and is automatic from the line, as his 90.8% from the charity stripe leads the MAC. He scored a season-high of 28 points in last month’s meeting with Toledo, and he’s reached at least 21 in five of his last eight games. He’s complemented by three other double-digit scorers, as the Falcons can lean on several players to get buckets.
One of those, Javontae Campbell (14.2 points), also does it on the defensive end as he leads the MAC with 2.9 steals per game. With three other Falcons averaging at least one steal per game, Bowling Green forces more turnovers per night than any other MAC team. Generating extra possessions for the Falcons will allow them to take advantage of a suspect Toledo defense as the Rockets allow the highest 3-point percentage in the conference and the second-most made 3-pointers per game. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Toledo
Toledo lives inside the arc, making the 15th-most 2-pointers per game in college basketball, but that doesn’t mean it can’t venture outside the arc and do so efficiently. It proved just that in the first meeting with Bowling Green as the Rockets knocked down 12 of their 3-point attempts at a 50% clip. That’s both the most made 3-pointers and the highest 3-point percentage that Bowling Green has allowed all season.
That inside-outside combination is guided by guards, Sonny Wilson and Sam Lewis. They both average over 15 points per game, with each ranking in the top 10 in scoring in the MAC, in addition to both knocking down over 40% from downtown. Even with those two, no Rocket had more points Isaiah Adams (18 points) in the first matchup with the Falcons, which points to Toledo’s depth. Six players had at least eight points in that game, and Javan Simmons filled up the box score with eight points, nine rebounds, three assists, two blocks and one steal. See which team to pick here.
How to make Toledo vs. Bowling Green picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Bowling Green vs. Toledo 10,000 times and is going under on the total, projecting 157 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Toledo vs. Bowling Green, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bowling Green vs. Toledo spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $1,600 on its college basketball picks dating back to 2023, and find out.
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