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Get the popcorn ready as two of the NBA’s biggest superstars, Victor Wembanyama and Nikola Jokic, go head-to-head for the first time this season this afternoon.
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Wemby has crashed the glass with authority this season, and my Spurs vs. Nuggets predictions expect him to hit the Over on a modest rebound line.
Here are my free NBA picks for this powerhouse Western Conference showdown today, April 4.
Spurs vs Nuggets prediction
Spurs vs Nuggets best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (+100)
Victor Wembanyama is pulling down a career-best 11.5 rebounds, so he’ll need just a slightly above-average game to cash the Over here. As an added bonus, we’re getting this prop at even money.
Wemby has grabbed 12+ rebounds in five straight games and six of his last seven. In 21 games since the All-Star break, his rebound numbers have climbed to 12.2 per tilt, and he’s hit the Over 12 times.
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The majority of times he didn’t grab 12+ boards were against bottom feeders, where the San Antonio Spurs are up so big they don’t need his services. That won’t be the case in a game where the Spurs are favored by just two points.
Wemby’s 11.5 rebound average ranks fifth in the Association, and his 9.4 defensive rebounds are second-most by any player. Over their last 10, the Denver Nuggets have surrendered the 12th-most rebounds (43.2) and 12th-most defensive rebounds (32.4).
In six head-to-head matchups with Nikola Jokic, Wembanyama has averaged a whopping 14.7 boards, and he’s corralled 12+ rebounds four times.
He should be well-rested after getting a maintenance day on Thursday, so I expect a strong afternoon cleaning the glass.
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Spurs vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Both teams are nearly at full strength, and both feature an MVP candidate surrounded by a deep cast of solid shooters and scoring options. I’m counting on a high-scoring affair tonight in what I think will turn into a track meet between two Top-3 offenses.
Denver hasn’t been great against the spread at home this season, going 18-19 at Ball Arena and just 14-15 as the home dog. San Antonio is 23-16-1 ATS on the road and 13-11-1 as the road favorite.
The Spurs have covered in four of their last five away from home, and will do so again today in their push for the West’s No. 1 seed.
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Spurs vs Nuggets SGP
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Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
Our “from downtown” SGP: Battle of the bigs
Wemby has averaged 29.1 points across his last 14 games, hitting the Over on this scoring line eight times. He’s scored 27+ in two of his last three against Nikola Jokic (dating back to last season), and he’ll have no fear shooting as he chases Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the NBA MVP award.
Jokic has been incredible over his last six games, averaging a monstrous 23.5 points, 16.5 rebounds, and 13.7 assists. In that span, he’s hit the Over on his rebounds line in all six, and the assists line in five of six. Joker has scored 25+ in two of his last three overall.
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Spurs vs Nuggets SGP
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Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 points
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Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
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Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 points
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Nikola Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds
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Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 assists
Spurs vs Nuggets odds
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Spread: Spurs -2 | Nuggets +2
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Moneyline: Spurs -130 | Nuggets +110
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Over/Under: Over 242.5 | Under 242.5
Spurs vs Nuggets betting trend to know
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+32.45 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Spurs vs Nuggets
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Location |
Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
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Date |
Saturday, April 4, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
3:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime Video |
Spurs vs Nuggets latest injuries
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