Red Sox beat preseason projections, but still need more home run power

Do you remember when the Red Sox weren’t gonna have any player in 2026 who would hit 20 home runs?

I’m not gonna be gaslit by this by being told that I’m imagining things, because I know you remember this discourse leading up to Opening Day as well. FanGraphs’ ZiPS model said it themselves in the spring: Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu were going to lead Boston with 19 homers this season. Even if you wanted to be charitable and incorporate mid-season addition Adley Rutschman into the equation, his ZiPS projections still only accounted for 18 round-trippers.

This idea was (at least anecdotally) a consistent-enough of a conversation…

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