Mets at Royals prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 11

Its Friday, July 11 and the Mets (53-41) are in Kansas City to open a series against the Royals (46-48).

Kodai Senga is slated to take the mound for New York against Michael Wacha for Kansas City.

The Mets lost both ends of their doubleheader against the Orioles yesterday. The Royals swept a three-game series against the Pirates and have won four in a row overall.

New York is now 1.5 games behind the Phillies in the National League East. Kansas City is also in second place in their division, the American League Central…but they are 13 games behind the Tigers.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Mets at Royals

• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 8:10PM EST
• Site: Kauffman Stadium
• City: Kansas City, MO
• Network/Streaming: SNY, FDSNKC

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Mets at the Royals

The latest odds as of Friday:

• Moneyline: Mets (-141), Royals (+118)
• Spread: Mets -1.5
• Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Mets at Royals

• Pitching matchup for July 11, 2025: Kodai Senga vs. Michael Wacha
  • Mets: Kodai Senga (7-3, 1.47 ERA)
    Last outing: 6/12 vs. Washington – 5.2IP, 0ER, 1H, 1BB, 5Ks
  • Royals: Michael Wacha (4-9, 3.83 ERA)
    Last outing: 7/5 at Arizona – 4IP, 4ER, 4H, 4BB, 4Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets at Royals

• On the road the Mets have won 16 of their last 28 games following a loss
• 6 of the Royals’ last 8 games (75%) have stayed under the Total
• In their last 10 games with a rest advantage over their opponents the Royals are 7-3 against the Run Line
• Pete Alonso was 0-7 in yesterday’s doubleheader
• Brandon Nimmo was 5-13 in the series against Baltimore
• Bobby Witt Jr. is riding a 13-game hitting streak (21-53)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Mets and the Royals

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Mets and the Royals:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Mets on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Kansas City Royals at +1.5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

• Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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• Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
• Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)