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The Ottawa Senators have been one of the league’s best goal suppression teams over the past two months, while the New York Islanders sit third in goals against this season.
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Add in high stakes between two teams fighting for a playoff spot, and my Islanders vs. Senators predictions expect a low-scoring matchup.
Let’s dive into my NHL picks for Thursday, March 19.
Islanders vs Senators prediction
Islanders vs Senators best bet: Under 5.5 (+115)
The Ottawa Senators are an exceptional defensive team, ranking Top 3 in limiting shots, scoring chances, and expected goals at 5-on-5.
Their stout play has led to great results of late, with only the powerhouse Dallas Stars having conceded fewer goals over the last two months.
Ottawa is pairing improved goaltending with strong defensive play, setting them up to slow down the league’s 22nd-ranked offense.
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Scoring will also be a challenge against the New York Islanders, who rank third in goals against and will trot out Vezina candidate Ilya Sorokin.
Islanders vs Senators same-game parlay
Thomas Chabot has blocked 11 shots over the past four games, clearing his 1.5 line in three of them. This is par for the course without Jake Sanderson in the lineup.
Dating back to last season, Chabot recorded multiple blocks in eight of the last 11 games Sanderson missed — and all three Unders were against non-playoff teams.
Shane Pinto always ups his volume against the Islanders. He’s averaging 3.1 shots through six head-to-head meetings and has gone Over 2.5 shots in all four on home soil.
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Islanders vs Senators SGP
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Thomas Chabot Over 1.5 blocked shots
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Shane Pinto Over 2.5 shots
Islanders vs Senators odds
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Moneyline: Islanders +115 | Senators -135
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Puck Line: Islanders +1.5 (-215) | Senators -1.5 (+175)
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Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (+115)
Islanders vs Senators trend
The New York Islanders have hit the game total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Islanders vs. Senators.
How to watch Islanders vs Senators
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Location |
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON |
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Date |
Thursday, March 19, 2026 |
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Puck drop |
7:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
TSN5 |
Islanders vs Senators latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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