Connor McDavid’s struggles on the road in Florida are frustrating fans and costing bettors big.
The Edmonton Oilers captain garners a lot of the attention from opposing defences yet most of the time, McDavid finds a way to get the puck in the back of the net. This has pushed sportsbooks to list the Newmarket native’s betting props at absurd heights with McDavid being listed at over/under 1.5 points before every game.
Across five road playoff games in Florida between this season’s finals and last, he has managed two goals and three assists but what’s more revealing is that at even strength, he’s contributed three of the five total points. McDavid has been held off the scoresheet entirely in three of those five contests, marking an unexpectedly quiet stripe for a player of his caliber.
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This postseason, McDavid continues to dial up the production on the whole. He leads the NHL playoffs with 31 points, built from six goals and 25 assists in 19 games. In the first two games of the Stanley Cup Final, he was sensational with three assists, including one that was a highlight reel play, where he deked past Florida’s Aaron Ekblad and Aleksander Barkov before dishing the puck to a wide open Leon Draisaitl.
The stark contrast between McDavid’s overall dominance and his Florida road performances is palpable and carries real weight for betting angles. His road output in Sunrise underperforms in terms of what his betting odds are: just five points in five games, and invisible in three of them.
If you’re weighing bets like Anytime Goalscorer or point props for McDavid in Florida, the numbers suggest that those wagers are far from lock-ins. He has multiple points in five of his ten career playoff games against Florida, meaning even at home his odds to land his listed over 1.5 points we can’t bank on. When making a parlay for Game 4 on Thursday, I would consider looking to a different player.
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