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There are eight games on the MLB slate today, and prediction markets like Kalshi allow baseball bettors in every state (excluding Nevada) a chance to lock in their favorite MLB best bets.
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We’ve asked our baseball experts for their favorite MLB picks today — as well as offering extra MLB expert picks from the rest of the Covers staff for Friday, March 27.
MLB expert picks for today
|
Pick |
Price |
|---|---|
|
Josh Inglis: DET ML |
+104 |
|
Jon Metler: MIA ML |
-186 |
|
Joe Osborne: MIA/COL o7.5 |
+100 |
Prices courtesy of Kalshi.
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Josh Inglis’ expert pick: Tigers ML
Price: 49¢ (+104) at Kalshi
The Detroit Tigers hold a clear starting pitching edge in Game 2 after an 8–2 win over the San Diego Padres yesterday, who got just nine outs from Nick Pivetta in the opener. I’m backing Detroit on the moneyline at 49% and would buy at 52% or better, with a projected fair price closer to -122. Framber Valdez has a significant edge over Michael King, who struggled this spring (20 runs allowed in 17+ innings) and tends to lack efficiency — opening the door to the Padres’ bullpen early. Detroit’s young bats also looked legit in Game 1, and this lineup has real upside.
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Jon Metler’s expert pick: Marlins ML
Price: 65x¢ (-186) at Kalshi
The Colorado Rockies can’t catch a break — it’s Opening Day, and they’re already being targeted as a team to fade. The Miami Marlins are priced at 65 cents, and I think that number should be closer to 69 cents, so I’m hitting the button. Miami has a clear platoon advantage here, with a starting lineup featuring eight right-handed hitters against Kyle Freeland, a lefty who allowed right-handed batters to hit .300 with an .821 OPS last season. With a lineup built to exploit that matchup and Sandy Alcantara unveiling his revamped sweeper, I’ll back the Marlins in this spot.
Joe Osborne’s expert pick: Marlins/Rockies Over 7.5 runs – Yes
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Kalshi
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This total of 7.5 is showing way too much respect for these starting pitchers. Alcantara is coming off an awful season, where he posted a 5.36 ERA and looks nowhere close to regaining his 2022 Cy Young form, and Freeland is average at best, yet somehow posted a 4.51 FIP on the road in 2025 — which was worse than his mark at Coors Field. He also got smacked for eight hits and six earned by Miami late last season. While bullpens can change year to year, both of these units were consistently among the worst in 2025.
More MLB best bets for today
|
Pick |
Price |
|---|---|
|
Dodgers -1.5 |
-117 |
|
Read analysis in our Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions |
|
|
Yankees ML |
-133 |
|
Read analysis in our Yankees vs. Giants predictions |
|
|
Astros ML |
-150 |
|
Read analysis in our Angels vs. Astros predictions |
|
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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