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The first Game 7 of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs is set for Sunday, May 3, when the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning clash in a winner-take-all contest.

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My Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions and NHL picks focus on Habs defenseman Lane Hutson, who has been an offensive catalyst throughout the series.

Canadiens vs Lightning Game 7 prediction

Canadiens vs Lightning best bet: Lane Hutson Over 0.5 assists (-125)

Lane Hutson’s five points are tied for the team lead so far this postseason, and the Montreal Canadiens blueliner will add to his assist totals in Game 7.

The Habs have controlled nearly 53% of expected goals at 5-on-5 with Hutson on the ice — the sixth-best mark among all Montreal skaters — while his 5.01 on-ice expected goals are tops on the team. In short, Hutson has arguably been the Canadiens’ best player at generating scoring chances.

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Hutson has found the score sheet in all three road games against the Tampa Bay Lightning in this series, including a helper in two of those contests.

Canadiens vs Lightning Game 7 same-game parlay

The Lightning and Canadiens have combined for Under 5.5 goals in every meeting this series outside of Game 1. It’ll be another tight, low-scoring battle in Game 7.

Brandon Hagel has found the scoresheet in five of six contests and co-leads all skaters in the series with eight points. He also ranks second on Tampa Bay in ice time per game (25:21).

Canadiens vs Lightning SGP

  • Lane Hutson Over 0.5 assists

  • Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 points

Canadiens vs Lightning odds for Game 7

  • Moneyline: Canadiens +130 | Lightning -150

  • Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 (-215) | Lightning -1.5 (+175)

  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (+130) | Under 5.5 (-150)

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Canadiens vs Lightning trend

Montreal is 8-2 SU in its last 10 road games. Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Lightning.

How to watch Canadiens vs Lightning Game 7

Location

Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Date

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Puck drop

6:00 p.m. ET

TV

TNT

Canadiens vs Lightning latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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