Knicks vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Finals Game 5

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Courtside tickets for the NBA Finals were selling for as much as $200,000 in New York.

It only cost Karl-Anthony Towns two quick fouls to have the best seat in the house for a half, as the New York Knicks center got into early foul trouble against the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday.

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With the series swinging back to San Antonio, my Knicks vs. Spurs predictions take the 7-footer to find his postseason form in Game 5. Find out why in my NBA picks for June 13.

Knicks vs Spurs Game 5 prediction

Knicks vs Spurs best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points (+100)

Karl-Anthony Towns sat for most of the first half of Game 4 but was ready to roll in the second half, playing 18 of 24 minutes.

His offense, however, was understandably spotty, and much like Game 3, Towns couldn’t get into a rhythm. Mike Brown’s plan for Game 4 was to get Towns going early, but that went out the window.

I’m not backing off KAT in Game 5. He salvaged 13 points Wednesday, not too short of his total of 17.5, considering the circumstances.

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Projections sit as high as 21+ with my number at 18.7 points, which should have Over 17.5 listed at -118.

COVERS INTEL:

Towns’ usage was at 23.5% in his limited time in the first half of Game 4, in which he scored six points in just eight minutes. That’s higher than his average usage of 19.9% in the first two games in San Antonio, when KAT finished with 18 and 21 points.

Knicks vs Spurs Game 5 same-game parlay

The San Antonio Spurs’ inexperience has them backed into a 3-1 hole, but that youth could also be a strength in this spot. San Antonio is just young and dumb enough to shake Game 4.

The extended two-day break also works in their favor, especially when it comes to recharging Victor Wembanyama’s draining batteries. He looked tired and passive in the second half Wednesday.

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The Spurs have had the New York Knicks by the throat several times in the series and have shown resiliency enough in the playoffs, going 7-2 SU and ATS off a loss. They might not cover a bigger number, but can stay alive in Game 5.

Towns was passive in Game 3 and then got two quick whistles to ice his offense in Game 4. Mike Brown wants to run his offense through KAT, and we’ll see that in Game 5… as long as the refs don’t get trigger-happy.

Towns looked great in San Antonio in the opening two games, and his scoring prop is providing great value, with projections calling for 21+ points on Saturday.

Much like KAT, Stephon Castle got into foul trouble and couldn’t find his stroke in Game 4, shooting just 2-for-7 from the field. He kept attacking and knocked down all eight of his free-throw attempts.

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Castle finished with 13 points in just 26 minutes — tying his second-lowest action in the postseason. Game 5 models sit as high as 19 points from the Spurs guard, given his standard floor time.

Knicks vs Spurs SGP

• Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points

• Stephon Castle Over 16.5 points

Knicks vs Spurs odds for Game 5

• Spread: Knicks +5.5 | Spurs -5.5

• Moneyline: Knicks +170 | Spurs -205

• Over/Under: Over 216.5 | Under 216.5

Knicks vs Spurs betting trend to know

The Under is 1-3 in the 2026 NBA Finals heading into Game 5, with the total sitting at 216.5 O/U. The Under has been the correct side of the total, with finals games going 45-69 O/U since the 2005-06 season (60.5%). Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Spurs.

How to watch Knicks vs Spurs Game 5

Knicks vs Spurs latest injuries

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