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Cleveland sports fans are getting severe deja vu with the Cavs down 0-2. But with the series shifting back to their home floor, it’s time for Cleveland to dig deep … again.

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Ahead of tonight’s Game 3 clash with the New York Knicks, our NBA player prop projections have locked onto the highest-value betting angles on the market.

By analyzing the data against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges exist.

These Knicks vs. Cavaliers predictions are driven by numbers instead of guesswork.

If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Saturday, May 23.

Knicks vs Cavaliers computer picks for Game 3

Knicks

Cavaliers

Hart u12.5 points 
-105

Harden o18.5 points
-105

Towns o11.5 rebounds
-112

Mitchell o3.5 assists
-165

Bridges o12.5 points
-105

Mobley o8.5 rebounds 
-105

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Knicks Game 3 computer picks

Josh Hart Under 12.5 points (-105)

Projection: 10.70 points

Josh Hart made the Cleveland Cavaliers pay for sleeping on him in Game 2, dropping a massive 26 points while the Cavs focused on Jalen Brunson. Cleveland won’t dare him to beat them again in Game 3. Expect a much more disciplined defensive effort from the Cavs tonight, making the Under on Hart’s points prop the smart play.

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Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds (-112)

Projection: 11.77 rebounds

Karl-Anthony Towns is in his bag right now. The New York Knicks’ big man has cleared the way in the paint with back-to-back double-doubles, pulling down exactly 13 boards in both Games 1 and 2. Expect him to spearhead the rebounding effort for New York again tonight.

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Mikal Bridges Over 12.5 points (-105)

Projection: 13.62 points

While it may seem obvious, Mikal Bridges’ points prop presents immense value tonight. With Cleveland’s defense heavily focused on trapping Jalen Brunson and adjusting to contain Josh Hart after his Game 2 outburst, Bridges is bound to see plenty of open looks.

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Having already cleared this line in Games 1 and 2 with 18- and 19-point performances, he is in a prime position to stay hot tonight.

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Cavaliers Game 3 computer picks

James Harden Over 18.5 points (-105)

Projection: 20.05 points

The word of the day for James Harden is simple: more. The Cavaliers desperately need him to elevate his game in every facet.

While he put up 15 and 18 points in Games 1 and 2, it clearly hasn’t been enough to match a red-hot Knicks squad. Harden has been far too quiet, and it’s time for him to pump up the volume to prevent Cleveland from sliding into a familiar, inescapable postseason hole.

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Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 assists (-165)

Projection: 4.78 assists

New York’s defensive game plan starts and ends with making life miserable for Donovan Mitchell. With the Knicks doing everything they can to bottle up his scoring, Mitchell will have to lean heavily into his playmaking to keep Cleveland afloat.

He hasn’t cleared his assist prop yet in this series, but the Knicks’ suffocating pressure is going to force the ball out of his hands and right into a cashable Over for his assist line.

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Evan Mobley Over 8.5 rebounds (-105)

Projection: 8.56

Don’t let a single bad outing scare you off Evan Mobley tonight. While the Knicks limited him to just six rebounds in Game 2, Mobley has otherwise been a cash machine on the boards this postseason.

Back on his home floor, expect the Cavs’ big man to play with renewed aggression underneath, making the Over on his rebounding prop a fantastic bounce-back target.

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How to watch Knicks vs Cavaliers Game 3

Location

Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Date

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Tip-off

8:00 p.m. ET

TV

ABC

Not intended for use in MA.
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