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After splitting a pair of games at Paycom Center, the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs shift to Frost Bank Center for Game 3 tonight.
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Our Thunder vs. Spurs props dive into the best NBA player prop values for Friday, May 22, headlined by Victor Wembanyama.
It’s all part of our full Thunder vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks for Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals.
Best Thunder vs Spurs props for Game 3
|
Player |
Pick |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Victor Wembanyama |
Over 14.5 rebounds |
+102 |
|
Ajay Mitchell |
Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists |
-112 |
|
Chet Holmgren |
Under 23.5 points + rebounds + assists |
-110 |
Game 3 Prop #1: Victor Wembanyama Over 14.5 rebounds
Victor Wembanyama has been unstoppable on the glass since the second round. Not counting the game in which he was ejected, Wemby has averaged 15.6 boards across his last seven contests.
The big man has corralled 15+ rebounds in six of those seven games, including two straight against the Thunder.
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The Thunder have thrown Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein at him as primary defenders, but the result has been the same.
Oklahoma City has allowed the fourth-most offensive rebounds per game this postseason, and Wemby has gobbled up 14 of them across his last two outings.
Game 3 Prop #2: Ajay Mitchell Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists
Jalen Williams re-injured his hamstring in Game 2, and he’s questionable tonight. Given his injury history and risk of re-aggravation, it would be surprising if he took the court.
Ajay Mitchell filled in for Jay Dub admirably in the playoffs, starting six straight games. Mitchell’s usage skyrocketed from 15 to 28.3 in six games without Williams, and his PRAs jumped from 16.3 to 30.2 compared to the four games they played together.
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Mitchell has the clearest path to picking up Williams’ vacated production, and I expect him to cruise past his PRA total tonight.
Game 3 Prop #3: Chet Holmgren Under 23.5 points + rebounds + assists
Wembanyama has Holmgren’s number, and he’s locked him down all season. Holmgren averaged a career-best 27.7 PRA in the regular season, but that number plummeted to 19.3 in four matchups with Wemby.
Holmgren has been even more limited in the Western Conference Finals, averaging just 17.5 PRA in Games 1 and 2.
Wembanyama ranks in the Top 3 in opponent FG% (39.4), opponent points per game (64.3) and defensive rating (98.8) this postseason. He’s expected to be on Holmgren again tonight, impeding the OKC big man once again.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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