Penguins vs Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Playoffs Game 6

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• UPDATE: Added a who will win & goal scorer prediction.

The Battle of Pennsylvania rolls on, with the Philadelphia Flyers getting another shot to send Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins home.

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My top Penguins vs. Flyers predictions and NHL picks point to a cautious start, with both teams likely easing into a slow opening frame.

Penguins vs Flyers Game 6 prediction

Who will win Penguins vs Flyers Game 6?

Flyers: The Flyers are cruising along a 17-6-1 record while allowing just 2.21 goals per game dating back to the regular season, so the margin of error is razor thin for the Penguins. I don’t think Pittsburgh can generate enough offense to win a third consecutive game because I’m anticipating Philly solving Pens goalie Arturs Silovs in Game 6.

Penguins vs Flyers best bet: First period Under 1.5 goals (+100)

Goals have been at a particular premium during the first period of this low-scoring series.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins have only scored three times in the opening frame, and the Philadelphia Flyers have been held off the scoreboard entirely.

So, while I initially leaned to the Under 5.5 (+100), I think this first-period Under is the better play because there’s always potential for an early goalie pull in an elimination game.

I also value the Pittsburgh goalie switch to Arturs Silovs. He’s sporting a rock-solid .920 save percentage with 1.75 goals saved above expected across his two starts.

Penguins vs Flyers Game 6 same-game parlay

While I do think Silovs will play well in Game 6, his body of work suggests maintaining a .920 SV% and 0.702 GSAx per 60 minutes is asking too much. He finished the regular season with respective .887% and -0.318 marks across 39 games, after all.

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Additionally, while difficult to quantify, the go-to Penguins are far older than the best players jumping the boards for the Flyers. So, I expect the physical toll of the series to catch up to Pittsburgh in its third consecutive elimination game.

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Philly defenseman Jamie Drysdale has quietly had a strong postseason and recorded two or more shots in each of the past three games while averaging a respectable 20:15 per night for the series.

Penguins vs Flyers SGP

• First period Under 1.5 goals

• Jamie Drysdale Over 1.5 shots

Penguins vs Flyers Game 6 goal scorer pick

Christian Dvorak (+375)

This low-scoring series hasn’t been kind to goal scorers, so I’m eyeing Flyers center Christian Dvorak at a long price because he’s pacing Philly forwards in ice time and has recorded a respectable 1.49 expected goals and eight high-danger scoring chances without finding the back of the net in the series.

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In flier territory, he’s the Flyer to target.

Penguins vs Flyers odds for Game 6

• Moneyline: Penguins +105 | Flyers -125

• Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-255) | Flyers -1.5 (+200)

• Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (+100)

Penguins vs Flyers trend

The Philadelphia Flyers have won 17 of their last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 47% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Flyers.

How to watch Penguins vs Flyers Game 6

Penguins vs Flyers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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