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A double-dose of Los Angeles vs. New York plays highlight our MLB best bets for Tuesday’s slate, dipping into both the AL and NL versions of those matchups.
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In addition to those MLB picks, we also have more best bets from the Covers staff — with all prices courtesy of Polymarket, which allows baseball fans all across the country to participate in the MLB action.
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UPDATE: Added best bet for TEX/A’s and CHC/PHI.
MLB expert picks for today
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Josh Inglis: LAA ML |
+163 |
|
Jon Metler: NYM ML |
+186 |
|
Joe Osborne: TEX/A’s u8.5 |
+100 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis’ expert pick: Angels moneyline
Price: 38¢ (+163) at Polymarket
When I’m backing a big dog, I’ll happily take an offense like the Los Angeles Angels, which has been a Top-10 unit over the last week and is coming off a 10-run outing yesterday. They got to the Yankees bullpen early, tagging it for six runs and two home runs, which is key to their chances again today. Ryan Weathers is coming off a career-high 101 pitches in his last start, after relatively light workloads throughout his six MLB seasons, which adds some uncertainty to his leash. THE BAT projects a fair price closer to +125 for the Halos, making +163 a strong value spot.
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Jon Metler’s expert pick: Mets moneyline
Price: 35¢ (+186) at Polymarket
Nolan McLean vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto at Dodger Stadium — this is the game of the night, and I’m backing the Mets in a matchup that could easily be an NLCS preview. The Mets are trading at 35% on Polymarket, but I make them closer to 44%, which is why I’m hitting the button on this price. The Dodgers lineup — featuring LHBs Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Tucker, and Max Muncy — typically benefits from facing right-handed pitching… unless it’s a high-end arm. McLean fits that description, with elite stuff and a high spin rate. He can bury back-foot sliders to left-handed power bats and mix in his curveball to keep them off balance, forcing weaker contact and limiting their power.
Joe Osborne’s expert pick: Rangers/A’s Under 8.5
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket
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Two left-handed starters are set to take the mound, matching up perfectly against two of the worst offenses against lefties this season, with the teams ranking 26th and 27th in OPS vs southpaws. MacKenzie Gore has been sharp with a 2.45 ERA, and is backed by a bullpen that ranks second in ERA, while Jeffrey Springs has posted a 0.69 ERA and 0.46 WHIP, including a one-hit gem at Yankee Stadium in his last outing. The Athletics are always a candidate for rock-bottom run production, already logging six games this season with one run or fewer.
More MLB best bets for today
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Cubs ML |
+120 |
|
Read analysis in our Cubs vs. Phillies predictions |
|
|
Cardinals ML |
+104 |
|
Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Cardinals predictions |
|
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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